How far do you have Duke going in the NCAA Tournament?
Losing to Villanova in the Elite Eight?
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Beating Gonzaga in the Final Four?
Either way, chances are you almost certainly have the Blue Devils advancing farther than Joel Embiid does.
Embiid has them losing to the 15-seeded Troy Trojans, who went 22-14 and beat juggernaut Texas State in the Sun Belt title game. Yahoo has his complete bracket.
A crazy pick? Probably. But remember, a 15-seed has beaten a 2-seed eight times (8-120) since 1985 (when the field expanded to 64), including last year when Middle Tennessee State stunned Michigan State.
What's more, Duke is one of the eight victims, losing in 2012 to C.J. McCollum and Lehigh from the Patriot League. The Blue Devils also lost as a 3-seed to 14th-seeded Mercer in 2014.
Does Embiid have something against Duke? Who knows. While with Kansas, Embiid and the Jayhawks beat Duke in their only meeting. In his second game with KU, he had two points, seven rebounds, five assists and a block in 20 minutes in a 94-83 win over the Blue Devils.
Elsewhere, Embiid has Villanova reaching the Elite Eight before losing to Baylor.
Who does Embiid have winning the NCAA Tournament?
Kansas, of course.