Poll: N.J. Likes Obama 3 Weeks Out

Obama leading by 15 points

New Jersey Looking More Like a Garden State for Obama.

In an election for President of the United States in New Jersey today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 55% to 40%, according to this SurveyUSA poll.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Obama is up 2 points; McCain is down 3.

Obama takes a majority of the vote among most groups: men and women, young and old, well-educated and less-educated, rich and poor.

Obama leads by 22 points in North Jersey, by 10 points in Central Jersey, and by 9 points in South Jersey.

16% of Republicans cross-over to vote for Obama; 11% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain. Independents split.

New Jersey has 15 Electoral College votes. John Kerry carried New Jersey by 7 points in 2004; Al Gore carried the state by 16 points in 2000.

The SurveyUSA poll was conducted exclusively for WABC-TV in New York and WCAU-TV in Philadelphia.

551 likely voters were surveyed.
Margin of error: = ± 4.2%

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